Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.131851 0.156094 0.183194 0.215682 0.253520 0.296147 0.347758
2025-01-05 0.093556 0.124562 0.163105 0.214324 0.280361 0.362375 0.471668
2025-01-12 0.069990 0.102341 0.146089 0.209105 0.297001 0.414609 0.583129
2025-01-19 0.054287 0.085950 0.131913 0.202735 0.308157 0.458100 0.686004
2025-01-26 0.045882 0.077799 0.127038 0.207385 0.333737 0.522883 0.824836
2025-02-02 0.039157 0.070665 0.122021 0.210251 0.355963 0.584198 0.964646
2025-02-09 0.033510 0.064083 0.116518 0.210972 0.374104 0.640366 1.101890
2025-02-16 0.029330 0.059194 0.112881 0.213898 0.395652 0.703625 1.256670
2025-02-23 0.026610 0.056440 0.112434 0.222073 0.426814 0.785680 1.450974
2025-03-02 0.022519 0.050250 0.104646 0.215537 0.430523 0.820356 1.566424
2025-03-09 0.019848 0.046431 0.100746 0.215666 0.446255 0.877545 1.727200
2025-03-16 0.017271 0.042324 0.095603 0.212497 0.455012 0.922419 1.869285
2025-03-23 0.015730 0.040303 0.094591 0.217878 0.481862 1.005216 2.093557
2025-03-30 0.013838 0.037117 0.090599 0.216407 0.494578 1.062054 2.273766
2025-04-06 0.011955 0.033579 0.085244 0.211120 0.498455 1.101440 2.422965
2025-04-13 0.010281 0.030228 0.079763 0.204688 0.498882 1.133512 2.560052
2025-04-20 0.009458 0.028960 0.079078 0.209379 0.524754 1.221680 2.823243
2025-04-27 0.008634 0.027523 0.077740 0.212271 0.546761 1.303578 3.080673
2025-05-04 0.007804 0.025901 0.075661 0.212999 0.563671 1.375776 3.323542
2025-05-11 0.007161 0.024702 0.074516 0.215950 0.586304 1.463050 3.608283
2025-05-18 0.006783 0.024247 0.075334 0.224199 0.623098 1.586525 3.987051
2025-05-25 0.005922 0.022061 0.070918 0.217605 0.621186 1.618494 4.155435
2025-06-01 0.005378 0.020812 0.069016 0.217735 0.636837 1.694181 4.434588